The world just changed on January seven. America did not simply withdraw from sixty six global bodies for administrative convenience. It formally declared that the liberal world order is dead and that it will not submit to any institution it does not control. That was the announcement. Quiet. Clinical. Brutal.
For eighty years the United States pretended to be the referee of the world. Now it wants to be a player again. And players do not obey referees. They break bones and chase trophies. That is why the military budget has exploded. That is why intelligence has been privatized. That is why immigration has been militarized. These are not reforms. These are war preparations.
People who keep asking if Trump will go to war do not understand. The war already started. It is a resource war, a currency war, a supply chain war, a sanctions war and a technology war. Guns come later. Drones come later. Marines come later. First you strangle. Then you isolate. Then you break the most stubborn opponent as an example. That opponent is no longer Iraq or Syria. It is Venezuela. And after Venezuela the line of sight goes to Africa.
BRICS is not a debate club. It is a survival shelter. It is a plan B for nations that refuse to be vassals in a unipolar world. China is building parallel financial rails. Russia is building parallel energy corridors. Iran is building parallel deterrence networks. Brazil is building parallel commodity alliances. India is hedging to avoid being trapped. It is the reconstruction of world order without American permission.
Now switch to Nigeria.
Nigeria still thinks the world is run by ECOWAS meetings, donor conferences, Commonwealth greetings and Western diplomatic grammar. Meanwhile the world has already entered a bunker. The main currencies are oil, gas, lithium, ports, minerals, population, and shipping lanes. Nigeria has all of them in embarrassing surplus but behaves as if it has none of them at all.
The tragedy is that Nigeria is not just unprepared. It is unguarded. Corruption at the center. State capture by oligarchs. Compromised elections. Courts that kiss power. Governors who steal. Senators who sleep. A political class that does not understand the century it is living in. A security architecture built for internal intimidation, not external deterrence. A foreign policy that has no doctrine, no direction, and no purpose beyond photo ops and begging bowls.
In this new era Nigeria is not a spectator. It is a prize.
If America believes Nigeria is drifting toward BRICS it will intervene to pull it back into orbit. That is how empire works. Not through tweets but through sanctions, intelligence operations, narrative war, currency sabotage, elite capture and controlled chaos. If China believes Nigeria is still under Western influence it will accelerate belt and road projects, mining rights and strategic port access to lock in advantage. Russia will offer security partnerships. Europe will panic over LNG and minerals and suddenly discover humanitarian language. Each will bid for influence. Not because they love Nigeria. Because Nigeria is too important to be left unclaimed.
Meanwhile the Nigerian political elite is busy with tribal banter, zoning quarrels, gossip, defections, ego, and small hustles. It is like watching a family fight over inheritance while the house is on fire and a bulldozer is already warming outside.
And here is the final provocation. The 2027 elections will not be a domestic affair. They will be the first openly geopolitical election in our history. Washington, Beijing, Moscow, Brussels, Riyadh, and even BRICS capitals will watch closely because the winner will determine whether Nigeria remains in the Western security orbit or tilts into the emerging multipolar bloc or attempts non alignment. That choice will determine currency, energy routes, military procurement, maritime rights, resource contracts, port access, surveillance grids, tech standards and the survival of the Nigerian federation itself.
If this country enters that arena with the same unseriousness of 2015 or 2023 it will not come out the same. Some countries are partitioned by war. Others are partitioned by elections they did not understand. Ask Yugoslavia. Ask Sudan. Ask Ukraine. Ask Libya. Ask Venezuela. Nothing guarantees that Nigeria must remain intact forever simply because it did yesterday. Empires do not care about history. They care about resources and alignment.
January seven was not about Trump. It was a signal that the world has entered the pre conflict stage of a global realignment. Some states are preparing. Some states are aligning. Some states are building bunkers. Nigeria is debating who insulted who on television.
There is still time. But not much.
If Africa has a frontline state in this new world it is Nigeria. But frontline states need doctrine, strategy, unity, and elite consensus. Nigeria has none of the above. And that is the most dangerous national security vulnerability of all.
By Hon. Chimazuru Nnadi-Oforgu
Duruebube Uzii na Abosi
OBLONG MEDIA UNLIMITED 
Leave a comment